Here is a summary of the top 5 moderate/conservative political issues making headlines today.
1. Republicans are overperforming in Miami-Dade county
Something is making Democrats in Miami-Dade county sweat and it isn’t the Florida heat. According to politicos on the ground in Florida’s most populous county, there is a reason to believe that Republicans will overperform in voter turnout this year compared to previous elections.
In order to win Florida, any Democrat running for president must log massive turnout numbers in Miami-Dade where Democrats outpace Republicans in voter registration by roughly ten points.
Compared to the rest of Florida and the country at large, Democrats aren’t turning out in this county as much compared to their numbers in 2016. The Republicans on the other hand are turning out in droves and will continue to show up even more on election day.
Congresswoman Frederica Wilson, who represents a black congressional district in Miami, is concerned that black voters are not getting out to vote as much as anticipated. However, some Democrats are confident that African American voters will mostly show up to vote on election day.
In recent days both Joe Biden and Donald Trump have been crisscrossing the state of Florida holding events in order to boost turnout. If Biden loses the sunshine state, look to a decreased voter turnout in this county as a reason why.
2. Don’t listen to the polls, Democrats would need a “Blue Tsunami” to take the Senate
In recent weeks there has been a lot of press in the U.S. discussing a possible “blue trifecta” in which the Democrats win the House of Representatives, the Senate and the executive on election night. Due to the current makeup of the Senate map, a “blue tsunami” would be required for that to happen.
Realistically, there are ten Senate races that are competitive. Colorado, Arizona, Iowa, Montana, Alabama, South Carolina, North Carolina, two seats in Georgia and Maine. In all likelihood, Republicans will take back a seat in Alabama and the Democrats will pick up seats in Colorado and Arizona. The rest of the remaining seats are very close.
However, in order for the Democrats to take the majority seats in the Senate, they would need a “Blue Tsunami” to pick up Senate seats in reliably red states (South Carolina, Montana).
Fox News contributor Chris Wallace weighed in on the map.
“You would need a blue wave,” Wallace told “America’s Newsroom” on Friday morning. “You would need all of the races that are too close to call right now going Democratic for them to take control of the Senate. That could happen. It has happened in some presidential elections. But it’s certainly no sure thing.”
3. Trump dials up his campaign rallies in the final days
Donald Trump loves his rallies. He frequently brags about the size and energy of the rallies his campaign has held. In the final days of the campaign, he plans to only hold more and more of them. Fourteen of them in the last three days to be exact.
While the Democratic ticket is still holding sparsely attended rallies due to COVID-19 restrictions (Vice Presidential nominee Kamala Harris did not even campaign today) the Trump campaign will be holding jam-packed events running up to election day.
The majority of the Trump rallies will take place in the midwest.
In addition, the Trump campaign noted that they may still hold events after election day if the election has not been called.
4. Mail in ballots stolen in key state Florida
Two men in Broward county have been apprehended by authorities after stealing mail in the state of Florida, including mail-in ballots. The two men were charged with stealing ballots, fraud, and petit theft. While they only stole two ballots, which were returned and counted, this story plays into a greater narrative (pushed by the Trump campaign) that the election can be stolen.
Both Democrats and Republicans have expressed concern in recent months that election security could be stronger.
Officials urge that this is an isolated incident and that the drop box locations in Florida are safe and secure.
a. Pair Accused of Stealing Mail, Ballots From Mailboxes in Lighthouse Point – NBC 6 South Florida
5. Filmmaker Michael Moore, who famously called Michigan for Trump in 2016, urges caution for Democrats already declaring victory
Academy Award winner and Flint Michigan native Michael Moore was ridiculed by liberal pundits in 2016 for suggesting that Trump would win Michigan and other rust belt states. He is sounding the alarm again.
Despite the polls, Moore noted that Trump supporters are always being undercounted and thus the candidate’s re-election odds in Michigan are better than many think.
“Don’t believe these polls, first of all. Second of all, the Trump vote is always being undercounted,” Moore told Hill.TV on Thursday. “Pollsters, when they actually call a real Trump voter, the Trump voter’s very suspicious of the ‘Deep State’ calling them and asking them who they’re voting for.”
Moore tends to understand the political winds in the industrial midwest and while he noted that Biden is in a better place than Hillary Clinton at this point, Trump could one again pull off an upset.
a. Michael Moore says Trump vote is ‘always being undercounted’ – New York Post